ABSTRACT
In spite of the attempts made by some studies to explore access to credit and its effect on output of small scale farmers in Nigeria, most of these studies did not apply the widely accepted impact assessment methodologies and therefore, may be subject to serious problems due to sample selection bias. This problem inspired this study which seeks to find the demographic and socio-economic features of small scale farmers in Nigeria which significantly determine their access to credit and the effect of credit access on the output of theses farmers, and a further attempt was made to check whether or not the poverty and marital statuses of small scale farmers who accessed credit caused a significant difference in their output using Instrumental Variable(IV) and Heckman Two-Step Estimation Techniques to correct for endogeneity and sample selection biases. Both the first stage of IV and first step of Heckman approach revealed that value of land, household size and the highest level of education of small scale farmers were, at 5% level, the significant determinants of their access to credit. Both techniques agree that household size, acreage cultivated, age in years, years of experience, sex and total annual income of the small scale farmers were the variables that significantly influence their output at 5% level. However, they disagree on the effects of the highest level of education and marital status of these farmers on their outputs. While Heckman estimated them to have significant effect on small scale farmers’ output, the generalized method of moments showed they are not significant, even at 10% level, at determining the output of theses farmers. They also agreed that credit access, which has a negative significant effect on output at only 10% level, does not significantly impact output of small scale farmers at 5% level of significance. Again, among the small scale farmers who accessed credit, there were significant differences in their outputs due to their poverty and marital statuses. This study suggests that government and private financial institutions should consider improving their (financial) services to small scale farmers to boost their performance.
CHAPTER ONE
INTRODUCTION
1.1 BACKGROUND TO THE STUDY
Agriculture is the mainstay of most developing nations’ economies. It accounts for about 70 percent of full-time employment, 33 percent of national income and about 40 percent of African countries’ total export earnings (Otsuka, Larson & Hazel, 2013). Agricultural sector is fundamental to the provision of food for human development and raw materials for industries. In Nigeria, agriculture has great potential for growth. This comes from the country’s abundant natural resources, particularly land, and the large yield gap that we can explore to increase food security and reduce poverty (AGRA, 2013). The proportion of rural poverty is the highest in Sub-Saharan Africa and it also has the greatest potential for smallholder agriculture-led poverty reduction (Christiaensen, Demery & Kuhl, 2011). Christiaensen et al. (2011), also found that a 1% increase in agricultural per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP) reduced the poverty gap five times more than a 1% increase in GDP per capita in other sectors, mainly among the poorest people who, mainly, are small scale farmers. Since agriculture employs a large number of people in Nigeria, increasing productivity is essential to eradicating extreme hunger, poverty reduction and ensuring food security (Chigbu, 2004). The Sub-Saharan Africa countries (Nigeria inclusive) invest, on average, only 5-7% of public expenditure in agriculture, compared to 8-10% in Asia (RESAKSS, 2010), whereas in the 2003 Maputo Declaration, African Heads of State committed to increasing expenditures on agriculture to 10 percent of their national budgets (Diao, Thurlow, Benin & Fan, 2012).
However, small scale farming contributes to the national objective of employment opportunities creation and income generation by providing a source of livelihood for the
majority of low-income households in Nigeria. Despite these significant roles played by the sector, the small scale farmers have, over the years, experienced many constraints that have limited the achievement of their full potentials. The figure 1 below shows clearly, that the contribution of agriculture to the Gross Domestic Product has been less than N400 Billion since 1981.
FIGURE 1: Contribution of Agriculture to Gross Domestic Product
400.00
350.00
300.00
250.00
200.00
150.00
100.00
50.00
0.00
Year
Source: Author’s Plot Using Excel and Data From CBN Statistical Bulletin, 2014.
From the figure 2 on the next page, agricultural sector has always received the least from the commercial banks since 2008.
Figure 2: Distribution of Commercial Banks’ Loans and Advances To Some Sectors In
Nigeria (In Billions of Naira)
Source: Author’s Plot Using Excel and Data From CBN Statistical Bulletin, 2014.
Also, access to credit index by farmers rose from 1% in 2010 to 13.3% in 2011 but fell to
3.1% in the third quarter of 2014, as shown in the figure 3 below.
FIGURE 3: Index of Credit Access Between 2009 Quarter 1 To 2014 Quarter 4.
15
10
5
0
-5
-10
credit access index
-15
-20
-25
Year
Source: Author’s Plot Using Excel and Data From CBN Statistical Bulletin, 2014.
The microfinance banks loans and advances to the sector (shown in figure 4 below) fell from its peak (9,704.9 million) in 2005 to (7,735.7 million) in 2014.
Figure 4: Micro Finance Banks Loans and Advances to Agric. Sector
12,000.0
10,000.0
8,000.0
6,000.0
4,000.0
2,000.0
Micro Finance Banks Loans and Advances to Agric Sector in Millions of Naira
–
Years
Source: Author’s Plot Using Excel and Data From CBN Statistical Bulletin, 2014.
These figures, however, are discouraging for the sector that sustains about 70 percent of our population (CBN, 2014).
The major challenge facing these farmers is lack of and limited access to credit as we saw in the figures 2, 3 and 4 above. Credit is, no doubt, the important instruments that can enable small-scale farmers overcome their liquidity constraint, but lack of acceptable collateral and procedural bureaucracies of credit borrowing that also affects the timing of the credit are some of the constraints the smallholder farmers face in accessing credit from the formal institutions. These problems have led to majority of small scale farmers limiting themselves to subsistence activities. Illiteracy also affects the small scale farmers’ access to credit and the success of the agricultural development efforts in Nigeria. The farmers who have no basic education are denied credit access and this reduces their output by keeping them in subsistence farming (Chigbu, 2004). This type of subsistence farming is characterized by low
output, income and savings, poor access to inputs, and very importantly, lack of access to credit financing (Diagne, 2002). In fact, lack of credit to agricultural sector has been identified as the major cause of high rate of exit from agricultural businesses and the poor performance of the sector (Okurut, Schoombee & Berg, 2004).
These constraints induced successive Nigerian governments to initiate policies and programmes that would ensure adequate availability of cheap and accessible credit to small- scale farmers (Nwanze,2011). Some of these programmes introduced over the years include: The Agricultural Credit Guarantee Scheme Fund (ACGSF), established in April, 1978, mainly to cushion the effect of lack of collateral of the small scale farmers in Nigeria; The Rural Banking Scheme (RBS), which established about 300 branches in rural areas between
1980 and 1989; The Community Bank of Nigeria (1990); The Family Economic Advancement Programme (FEAP), established in 1997; and recently, The Nigerian Agricultural Cooperative and Rural Development Bank (NACRDB) renamed Bank of Agriculture (BoI) in October, 2000. A complete list of the policies and programmes established to improve agriculture, alongside their aims, achievements and reasons for their failures, are in chapter two (the policy context of this study).
Whether these programs and policies of the government have succeeded in terms of improving the small scale farmers’ output significantly is one area researchers have not adequately investigated. This may be because increasing access to credit by small scale farmers has never formed a major goal of the policies and programs of the government and even when it is listed as part of her development objectives, realities may prove otherwise. It may also be that most of the research works in this area did not use the acceptable research methodologies which account for sample selection bias and endogeneity. Interestingly, empirical evidences of the effect of credit use by smallholder farmers on their output can be
used as a reliable guide to design agricultural policy and program necessary to achieve efficient allocation of scarce resources among the sectors of the economy.
In the light of the above premise, this study seeks to ascertain the demographic and socio- economic features of the small scale farmers which significantly determine their access to credit, if there is significant effect of credit access on the output of small scale farmers who accessed credit, whether the poverty levels of small scale farmers who have credit access have significant effect on their output relative to non poor small scale farmers who accessed credit and if marital status has any significant difference in the output of small scale farmers who accessed credit, employing the proper econometric tools which correct for endogeneity and sample selection bias.
1.2 STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM
Notwithstanding that the agricultural sector employs nearly three-quarter of the Nigerian work force (Ugbaja & Ugwumba, 2013), it has been observed to be performing poorly. In Nigeria, however, agriculture is dominated by small scale farmers (as can be seen in their small-scale farming activities) most of whom are rural-based, with low level of education; poor access to useful information and market and lack access to credit finance. Inaccessibility of credit by these farmers hinders their acquisition of the required inputs to increase their output. Lack of these required inputs limit agricultural development by reducing farmers’ output, expected income, savings (needed for investment) and overall welfare of the small scale farmers in Nigeria(Daveze, 2000). Again, the enduring lack of credit access faced by these farmers have significant consequences for their household-level outcomes, as well as, technology adoption, agricultural productivity, food security, nutrition, health and overall welfare of the smallholder farmers’ households (Eyo, 2008). Increasing small scale farmers’ output for self-sufficiency, no doubt, requires more use of inputs such as improved seedlings,
fertilizers, pesticides, land and labour and they all necessitate the use of credit (Odoemenem and Obinne, 2010). However, small scale farmers in Nigeria need tangible financial resources to enable them cope with the increasing cost of inputs (Diagne, 2002). Therefore, credit is the main solution to the low savings capacity of the small scale farmers in Nigeria due to its role in enabling farmers take care of the expenses/investments associated with increase in their output. Thus, solving the problem of small scale farmers’ access to credit is very important in improving their performance and, as a result, will lead to economic development through its role in agricultural development.
The little efforts to encourage the farmers by the government, however, most times, do not get to the grass root, and when they are channelled at the grass root, only the farmers with political affiliation or loyalty get them. Sometimes, these credits get to false farmers who use them for non agricultural activities, thereby making the effort of the government fruitless (Nwaeze, 2001).
In addition, credit institutions are often constrained from serving the small scale farmers by lack of property rights (acceptable collateral), high cost of transaction (cost to the financial sector for giving the loans to these farmers), high risk and low returns from agricultural businesses (Chigbu, 2004). Also, the methods (for example, loan rationing) and practice (high interest rate charge) adopted by the financial institutions have not in any way attenuated the yearnings of these smallholder farmers. The timing of the loan, however, is an issue also as most of the loans granted were advanced to farmers later after they had finished their planting (Okunmadewa, 2003).
Furthermore, the research efforts in this area have not adequately evaluated the effect of credit access on the output of small scale farmers who accessed credit. This prompts me to delve into ascertaining if the demographic and socio-economic features of the small scale
farmers significantly determine their access to credit, if there is significant effect of credit use on the output of small scale farmers in Nigerian, whether the poverty levels of small scale farmers who have credit access have significant impact on their output relative to their peers who are non poor and if the outputs of small scale farmers who accessed credit significantly vary due to their marital status. To do this, this research work will attempt to answer the following research questions:
1.3 RESEARCH QUESTIONS
1. What are the demographic and socio-economic features of the small scale farmers in
Nigeria that significantly determine their access to credit?
2. Has access to credit by small scale farmers in Nigeria any significant effect on their output?
3. Does the poverty status of small scale farmers who accessed credit have any significant effect on their output?
4. Is there any significant difference, due to marital status, in the output of small scale farmers who accessed credit?
1.4 OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY
The broad objectives of this study is to know the demographic and socio-economic characteristics of the small scale farmers that significantly determine their access to credit and to ascertain if credit access by small-scale farmers in Nigeria significantly influenced their output, after correcting for endogeneity and selectivity bias. In particular, this research work will seek:
1. To determine if demographic and socio-economic characteristics of small scale farmers significantly influence their access to credit.
2. To ascertain the effect of credit access on the output of small scale farmers in
Nigeria.
3. To know if poverty status of small scale farmers who used credit has any significant effect on their output.
4. To estimate the difference in output, due to marital status, of small scale farmers who accessed credit.
1.5 RESEARCH HYPOTHESES
HO1 : The demographic and socio-economic status of small scale farmers do not significantly determine their access to credit.
HO2: Credit access by small-scale farmers has no significant effect on their output.
HO3: The influence of credit use on output of small scale farmers is the same irrespective of their poverty statuses.
HO4: The effect of credit access on output of small scale farmers is the same for both the married and single small scale farmers.
1.6 SCOPE OF THE STUDY
This research will look at the demographic and social-economic features of small scale farmers which determine their access to credit and the effect of their credit access on their output. It will consider the credit obtained from both formal and informal credit sources by small scale farmers in Nigeria. The analyses will be on national level. Output will be used to measure performance of small scale farmers in Nigeria. It will use data from the agricultural section of the Nigeria Living Standard Survey, 2009 and the Harmonized Nigeria Living Standard Survey, 2012, Version 1.0.
1.7 SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY
This research will be significant to the government, ministry of agriculture and policy makers
–as empirical revelations from the effect of credit access on the output of small scale farmers can be used as a reliable guide in designing agricultural policies and programs needed to bring about efficient allocation of scarce resources among the sectors of the country. The research will also be relevant to farmers –to enable them know the areas they need improvement on and researchers (both students and non-students) to know the appropriate research methodologies to adopt when researching in this area.
This material content is developed to serve as a GUIDE for students to conduct academic research
ACCESS TO CREDIT AND PERFORMANCE OF SMALL SCALE FARMERS IN NIGERIA>
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